Publications in 2013

Selb, Peter, Michael Herrmann, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel and Susumu Shikano. (2013). Forecasting Runoff Elections Using Candidate Evaluations From First Round Exit Polls.International Journal of Forecasting 29(4): 541–547.

Jungherr, Andreas and Pascal Jürgens. (2013). Forecasting the Pulse: How Deviations From Regular Patterns in Online Data Can Identify Offline Phenomena. Internet Research 23(5): 589–607.

Leuffen, Dirk, Susumu Shikano and Stefanie Walter. (2013). Measurement and Data Aggregation in Small-n Social Scientific Research.European Political Science 12(1): 40–51.

Taagepera, Rein, Peter Selb and Bernard Grofman. (2013). How Turnout Depends on the Number of Parties: A Logical Model. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 24(4): 393–413.

Jungherr, Andreas. (2013). Die Rolle des Internets in deutschen Wahlkämpfen.ZPB Zeitschrift für Politikberatung 6(2): 88–93.

Jungherr, Andreas. (2013). Tweets and Votes, a Special Relationship: The 2009 Federal Election in Germany. In Proceedings of PLEAD ’13: Proceedings of the 2nd Workshop on Politics, Elections and Data. New York, NY: ACM. p. 5–14.

Perc, Matjaz, Karsten Donnay and Dirk Helbing. (2013). Understanding Recurrent Crime as System-Immanent Collective Behavior.PLoS ONE 8(10):e76063.

Selb, Peter and Simon Munzert. (2013). Voter Overrepresentation, Vote Misreporting and Turnout Bias in Postelection Surveys.Electoral Studies 32(1): 186–196.

Bailer, Stefanie, Peter Meißner, Tamaki Ohmura and Peter Selb. (2013).Seiteneinsteiger im Deutschen Bundestag – eine Analyse über Karrierewege und ihre Auswirkungen.Heidelberg: Springer VS (in German).

Jungherr, Andreas. (2013). Digitale Werkzeuge als Teil der Infrastruktur politischer Kampagnenwahl.de (22/07/2013). Reprinted in: Klas Roggenkamp and Sebastian Schmidtsdorf (eds.) #BTW13: Bundestagswahl 2013 – Themen, Tools, Wahlkampf. Berlin/Brüssel: polisphere e.V., p. 142–145 (in German).

Jungherr, Andreas. (2013). Schleppender Beginn: Deutsche Politiker entdecken Twitter nur zögerlich. Internationale Politik 2013 März/April: 54–59 (in German).