Prof. Peter Selb

Survey Research

I am a professor of survey research and I am currently in charge of the interdisciplinary Master's program in Social and Economic Data Science (SEDS). Prior to that I had been head of the Swiss Electoral Studies (Selects) and an assistant professor for research methods here at the Department of Politics and Public Administration. I received a doctoral degree in political science from the University of Zurich and a master's degree in political science, media and communication, and economic and social history from the University of Mannheim. My research covers topics in political behavior and public opinion, often with a methodological thrust. I am regularly teaching classes in survey methodology, causal inference, and statistical modelling.


New working paper with Julian Schuessler on Graphical Causal Models for Survey Inference

New working paper with Julian Schuessler on Graphical Causal Models for Survey Inference out on SocArXiv!

We demonstrate the usefulness of graphical causal models to communicate theoretical assumptions about the collection of survey data, to determine whether typical population parameters of interest to survey researchers can be recovered from a survey sample, and to support the choice of suitable adjustment strategies. Starting from graphical representations of prototypical selection...

Weitere Meldungen


Articles in Peer-reviewed Journals

Selb, Peter and Simon Munzert. (2018). Examining a Most Likely Case for Strong Campaign Effects: Hitler’s Speeches and the Rise of the Nazi Party, 1927–1933. American Political Science Review 112(4): 1050-1066.

Ohmura, Tamaki, Stefanie Bailer, Peter Meissner and Peter Selb. (2018). Pathways into Parliament: Party Animals, Parachutists, and other Political Career Patterns. West European Politics 41(1): 169–195.

Munzert, Simon and Peter Selb. (2017). Measuring Political Knowledge in Web-Based Surveys: An Experimental Validation of Visual Versus Verbal Instruments. Social Science Computer Review 35(2): 167–183.

Selb, Peter and Simon Munzert. (2016). Forecasting the 2013 Bundestag Election Using Data From Many Polls and Historical Election Results. German Politics 25(1): 73-83.

Herrmann, Michael, Simon Munzert, and Peter Selb. (2016). Determining the Effect of Strategic Voting on Election Results. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series A) 179(2): 583-605.

Selb, Peter and Georg Lutz. (2015). Lone Fighters. Intraparty Competition, Interparty Competition, and Candidates' Vote Seeking Efforts in Open-Ballot PR Elections. Electoral Studies 39: 329–337.

Taagepera, Rein, Peter Selb and Bernard Grofman. (2013). How Turnout Depends on the Number of Parties: A Logical Model. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 24(4): 393–413.

Selb, Peter, Michael Herrmann, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel and Susumu Shikano. (2013). Forecasting Runoff Elections Using Candidate Evaluations From First Round Exit Polls. International Journal of Forecasting 29(4): 541–547.

Selb, Peter and Simon Munzert. (2013). Voter Overrepresentation, Vote Misreporting and Turnout Bias in Postelection Surveys. Electoral Studies 32(1): 186–196.

Selb, Peter. (2012). Strategic Adaptation to New Electoral Systems. European Journal of Political Research 51(5): 583–606.

Selb, Peter and Simon Munzert. (2011). Estimating Constituency Preferences from Sparse Survey Data Using Auxliary Geographic Information. Political Analysis 19(4): 455–470.

Grofman, Bernard and Peter Selb. (2011). Turnout and the (Effective) Number of Parties at the National and District Levels: A Puzzle-Solving Approach. Party Politics 17(1): 93-117.

Lachat, Romain and Peter Selb. (2010). Strategic Overshooting in National Council Elections. Swiss Political Science Review 16(3): 481–498.

Selb, Peter and Sandrine Pituctin. (2010). Methodological Issues in the Study of New Parties' Entry and Electoral Success. Party Politics 16(2): 147–170.

Bailer, Stefanie, Tobias Schulz and Peter Selb. (2009). What Role for the Party Group Leader? A Latent-Variable Approach to Leadership Effects on Party Group Cohesion in the European Parliament. Journal of Legislative Studies 15(4): 355–378.

Grofman, Bernard and Peter Selb. (2009). A Fully General Index of Political Competition. Electoral Studies 28(2): 291–296.

Kroh, Martin and Peter Selb. (2009). Inheritance and the Dynamics of Party Identification. Political Behavior 31(4): 559–574.

Selb, Peter. (2009). A Deeper Look at the Proportionality-Turnout Nexus. Comparative Political Studies 42(4): 527–548.

Selb, Peter, Hanspeter Kriesi, Regula Hänggli and Mirko Marr. (2009). Partisan Choices in a Direct Democratic Campaign. European Political Science Review 1(1): 155–172.

Selb, Peter and Romain Lachat. (2009). The More, the Better? Counterfactual Evidence on the Effect of Compulsory Voting on the Consistency of Party Choice. European Journal of Political Research 48(5): 573–597.

Selb, Peter. (2008). Supersized Votes: Ballot Length, Uncertainty and Choice in Direct Legislation Elections. Public Choice 135(3): 319–336.

Selb, Peter. (2006). Multilevel Elections in Switzerland. Swiss Political Science Review 12(4): 49–75.

Books and Edited Volumes

Bailer, Stefanie, Peter Meißner, Tamaki Ohmura and Peter Selb. (2013). Seiteneinsteiger im Deutschen Bundestag – eine Analyse über Karrierewege und ihre Auswirkungen. Heidelberg: Springer VS (in German).

Bühlmann, Marc, Sarah Nicolet and Peter Selb. (2006). National Elections in Switzerland: An Introduction. Swiss Political Science Review 12(4): 1–12.

Kriesi, Hanspeter, Romain Lachat, Peter Selb, Simon Bornschier and Marc Helbling (eds.). (2005). Der Aufstieg der SVP. Acht Kantone im Vergleich. Zurich: Verlag NZZ (in German).

Selb, Peter. (2003). Agenda-Setting Prozesse im Wahlkampf. Bern/Stuttgart/Wien: Haupt (in German).

Book Chapters and Other Publications

Shikano, Susumu, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel, Michael Herrmann and Peter Selb. (2014). Eine empirische Schätzmethode für Valenz-Issues auf der Basis der Kandidatenbeurteilung am Beispiel der Konstanzer Oberbürgermeisterwahl 2012. In Eric Linhart, Bernhard Kittel, and André Bächtiger (eds.) Jahrbuch für Handlungs-und Entscheidungstheorie, Vol. 8. Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien, p. 113–131 (in German).

Kroh, Martin, and Peter Selb. (2009). Individual and Contextual Origins of Durable Partisanship. In John Bartle and Paolo Belucci (eds.) Political Parties and Partisanship. Social Identity and Individual Attitudes. London, UK: Routledge, p. 107–120.

Bailer, Stefanie, Tobias Schulz and Peter Selb. (2008). Welche Rolle spielen die Fraktionsvorsitzenden? Der Leadership-Effekt auf die Fraktionskohärenz im Europäischen Parlament als latente Variable. In Johannes Pollack, Fritz Sager, Ulrich Sarcinelli and Anette Zimmer (eds.) Politik und Persönlichkeit. Wien: Facultas Universitätsverlag, p. 231–246 (in German).

Lutz, Georg, and Peter Selb. (2007). National Elections in Switzerland. In Yannis Papadopoulos and Pascal Sciarini (eds.) Handbook of Swiss Politics, Vol. 2. Zürich: Verlag NZZ.

Selb, Peter. (2006). Räumliche Regressionsmodelle. In Joachim Behnke, Thomas Gschwend, Delia Schindler and Kai-Uwe Schnapp (eds.) Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren. Baden-Baden: Nomos, p. 297–308 (in German).

 Selb, Peter. (2006). Network Analysis. In Eberhard Bohne (ed.) The Quest for Environmental Regulatory Integration in the European Union: IPPC, EIA and Major Accident Prevention. London: Kluwer Law International, p. 80–89.

Selb, Peter, and Romain Lachat. (2004). Wahlen 2003. Die Entwicklung des Wahlverhaltens. Zürich: Institut für Politikwissenschaft (in German).

Selb, Peter. (2003). Problemeinführung. In Bundesamt für Statistik (eds.) Methoden zur Rekonstruktion von Wählerströmen aus Aggregatdaten. Neuchâtel: Bundesamt für Statistik (in German).

Selb, Peter. (2003). Werbeaufwand und Wahlerfolg. Der Effekt von Inserateausgaben auf Wahlchancen und Stimmengewinn Zürcher Kandidierender für den Nationalrat. In Pascal Sciarini, Sibylle Hardmeier und Adrian Vatter (eds.) Schweizer Wahlen 1999. Bern/Stuttgart/Wien: Haupt (in German).